Hurricane Beryl tracker: Texas forecast, spaghetti models, path

DALLAS — Hurricane Beryl is already making historical past. 

Listed here are the data to this point:

• Earliest Class 5 hurricane in a calendar 12 months (on file)
• Strongest hurricane in June within the Atlantic Basin (on file)
• Strongest hurricane in July within the Atlantic Basin (on file)
• The primary main hurricane east of the Antilles in June 
• Tropical storm to a serious hurricane in 42 hrs. (has solely occurred 6 different occasions)

So the place does the storm go from right here? And can it have any impacts on Texas because it enters the Gulf of Mexico? This is the newest forecast and radar:

As of 10 p.m. Tuesday night, Beryl continues to be a Class 4 hurricane with winds of 150mph. It’s presently south of Haiti/Dominican Republic and shifting towards Jamaica.

Hurricane Watches at the moment are in impact for the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.

It made landfall on Carriacou Island (Grenada) Monday morning as a Class 4 hurricane with 150 mph wind. 

The present forecast observe for Beryl has it shifting via the nice and cozy Caribbean waters via this week. Hurricane Warnings are lively in Jamaica and the Cayman Islands for wind, rain, and storm surge. 

It’ll go very near Jamaica and presumably might make one other landfall on the island.

Beryl will weaken because it strikes in direction of the Yucatan Peninsula, however nonetheless probably staying a hurricane. It makes it to the Peninsula late Thursday into early Friday. This may impression areas like Tulum to Cozumel to Cancun on Thursday into Friday.  The present forecast observe then has it shifting into the southwestern Gulf as a Tropical Storm over the weekend. 

As of now, Beryl will enter the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. The place it heads after that’s nonetheless unsure. A landfall from the coast of Mexico to South Texas is in play.

However what does look pretty sure is the storm will NOT be almost as robust at that time because it has been within the Caribbean. Nonetheless, it nonetheless might be a robust tropical storm or hurricane.

The ridge of excessive stress that’s bringing on the warmth and rain-free days for Texas in addition to a trough of low stress that may convey rain probabilities and cooler temps to Texas this weekend will affect the eventual observe of Beryl. We probably will not have a good suggestion of the place it can make landfall in Mexico or Texas till the storm enters the Gulf this weekend.

Every line represents a distinct mannequin. Most are in settlement on impression for the Yucatan Peninsula, however differ as soon as it strikes into the Gulf.