Florida vs. Mississippi State odds, spread: 2024 college football picks, Week 4 predictions from proven model

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-2) and Florida Gators (1-2) are each determined for a win heading into their matchup on Saturday afternoon. Florida head coach Billy Napier is on the recent seat following a 33-20 loss to Texas A&M final week, which was Florida’s twelfth loss in its final 15 video games towards power-conference opponents. Mississippi State is getting set for its SEC opener after shedding to Toledo 41-17 at house final week. It was essentially the most lopsided non-conference house loss for the Bulldogs since 2006, so first-year head coach Jeff Lebby might be seeking to proper the ship in convention play. Florida is 0-3 towards the unfold this season, whereas MSU is 1-2 ATS. 

Kickoff is midday ET at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Area. The Gators are favored by 6.5 factors within the newest Mississippi State vs. Florida odds per SportsLine consensus, whereas the over/beneath is 58.5 factors, up two factors from the opener. Earlier than getting into any Florida vs. Mississippi State picks, you may wish to see the faculty soccer predictions from the mannequin at SportsLine.

The mannequin simulates each FBS faculty soccer sport 10,000 instances. Since its inception, it has generated a revenue of over $2,000 for $100 gamers on its top-rated faculty soccer picks towards the unfold. It’s also coming off a worthwhile 13-9 season on top-rated unfold picks and is off to a 5-2 begin on over/beneath picks this season. Anybody who has adopted it has seen sturdy returns.

The mannequin has set its sights on Florida vs. Mississippi State. You may head to SportsLine to see its picks. Listed here are a number of faculty soccer betting traces for the sport:

• Mississippi State vs. Florida unfold: Florida -6.5
• Mississippi State vs. Florida over/beneath: 58.5 factors
• Mississippi State vs. Florida cash line: Florida -246, MSU +198
• Mississippi State vs. Florida picks: See picks right here

Why Mississippi State can cowl

Florida is off to a horrendous begin this season, providing little resistance in losses to Miami and Texas A&M. There was hypothesis relating to Napier’s job stability all through the week, which actually doesn’t assist the crew’s morale heading into their first street sport of the season. The Gators are actually 1-7 of their final eight video games courting again to final season, they usually have solely coated the unfold as soon as throughout that stretch.

Mississippi State will not be off to a powerful begin both, however it’s nonetheless attempting to construct momentum beneath a first-year head coach. The Bulldogs would not have to fret a few teaching change mid-season, which supplies them extra stability than Florida. Senior quarterback Blake Shapen has accomplished 70.1% of his passes for 834 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. See which crew to select right here. 

Why Florida can cowl

Napier is feeling the warmth, so he ought to have his greatest sport plan ready. He has been utilizing a two-quarterback system early within the season, as senior Graham Mertz and freshman DJ Lagway have each been getting snaps. Neither of them can afford a nasty efficiency on this matchup since Napier has two choices. 

Mississippi State is coming off its most lopsided non-conference house loss since 2006, because it failed to achieve a primary down on any of its first three possessions. The Bulldogs didn’t rating a landing till there have been lower than six minutes remaining within the third quarter, regardless of getting into that sport as 10.5-point favorites. They’ve solely coated the unfold 3 times of their final 14 video games and are 1-7 of their final eight video games towards SEC opponents. See which crew to select right here. 

How you can make Mississippi State vs. Florida picks

The mannequin has simulated Florida vs. Mississippi State 10,000 instances and the outcomes are in. The mannequin is leaning Underneath, and it is also generated a point-spread choose that’s hitting in over 50% of simulations. You may solely see the choose at SportsLine.

So who wins Mississippi State vs. Florida, and which facet of the unfold is hitting over 50% of the time? Go to SportsLine now to see which facet of the Florida vs. Mississippi State unfold to leap on, all from the superior laptop mannequin that is up over $2,000 on its top-rated faculty soccer unfold picks since its inception, and discover out.