We stay up for Sunday’s Premier League sport at Stamford Bridge with our Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction and preview. Are the Blues outdoors title contenders?
Chelsea vs Aston Villa: The Key Insights
- The Opta supercomputer is giving Chelsea a 52% win likelihood for this conflict.
- Chelsea, nevertheless, are winless of their final three Premier League conferences with Aston Villa.
- Villa have received their final two league video games at Stamford Bridge.
For all of the pre-season speak of a bloated squad and the chaotic state of Chelsea behind the scenes, Enzo Maresca has loved a powerful begin as Blues coach.
Chelsea sit in third place within the Premier League heading into Matchday 13, above Arsenal on aim distinction, and have misplaced simply twice within the Premier League this season.
On Thursday, their second string edged them nearer to development within the UEFA Convention League with a 2-0 win at Heidenheim, and Maresca has used that competitors to offer fringe gamers an opportunity whereas resting the likes of star man Cole Palmer.
However the place Chelsea have come unstuck is when dealing with fellow ‘large six’ opponents. They’ve misplaced to Manchester Metropolis and Liverpool, whereas drawing towards Manchester United and Arsenal.
Aston Villa don’t fall into the normal ‘large six’, however they completed within the high 4 final season and on Wednesday held European heavyweights Juventus to a 0-0 draw within the Champions League. They had been denied a late winner when Morgan Rogers had a aim disallowed for a foul on the goalkeeper by Diego Carlos.
However Unai Emery’s crew are winless of their final 4 Premier League video games (D2 L2). They final went 5 and not using a win between Could and August 2022, whereas they final did so in the identical season in March/April 2022 (each runs below Steven Gerrard). That run of kind has seen them drop to eighth, although such is the congested nature of the Premier League, they’re solely three factors behind Chelsea forward of Sunday’s conflict at Stamford Bridge.
After successive attracts, the Blues bounced again by beating Leicester Metropolis 2-1 final week – a outcome that in the end led to the tip of Steve Cooper’s Foxes tenure.
Nicolas Jackson was closely concerned, scoring one and enjoying a component in Chelsea’s winner, as his header was saved earlier than Enzo Fernandez nodded in on the rebound. 5 of Jackson’s seven Premier League targets this season have put Chelsea 1-0 forward within the match – coming into this weekend’s video games, solely Chris Wooden (six) has scored the opening aim in additional completely different video games this time period.
Pulling the strings behind Jackson will nearly actually be Palmer. No participant has created extra probabilities from open play within the Premier League this season than the England worldwide (28). Villa are one among simply three sides Palmer has failed to attain or help towards within the league since becoming a member of the Blues (two appearances), together with Liverpool (two) and Leicester (one).
Simply 41% of Chelsea’s Premier League factors this season have are available in house video games (9/22), the bottom ratio of any facet, so rediscovering that successful contact at Stamford Bridge will likely be essential if Maresca goes to, on the very least, safe Champions League qualification this time period.
They might additionally must shore up on the again. Chelsea have conceded not less than as soon as in all six of their Premier League house video games this season – they final had an extended watch for a house clear sheet from the beginning of a league marketing campaign in 1978-79 (9 video games).
Villa have scored each a league-high complete (six) and share (32%) of their Premier League targets through headers this season, together with Ross Barkley’s equaliser towards Crystal Palace final day out. Because it stands, it’s their highest share of headed targets in a single top-flight marketing campaign since 2001-02 (33% – 15/46).
Ollie Watkins, in the meantime, has scored in his final two Premier League away video games towards Chelsea, with each ending up being the successful aim within the match. No visiting participant has ever scored three match-winning targets at Stamford Bridge within the competitors.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head
Villa have received their final two Premier League away video games towards Chelsea, as many as of their earlier 21 visits to Stamford Bridge (D4 L15).
They final received three consecutive away league video games towards the Blues between 1930 and 1933.
Chelsea are winless of their final three Premier League conferences with Aston Villa (D1 L2), final having an extended such run towards them between February 2006 and December 2007 (5).
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction
Regardless of their current kind towards Villa, Chelsea are made the favourites by Opta’s supercomputer. The Blues have a 52% win likelihood.
Villa have a 25.2% probability of taking three factors, whereas the probability of a draw is 22.8%.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Opta Energy Rankings
The Opta Energy Rankings are a world crew rating system. They assign a capability rating to over 13,000 home soccer groups. This rating is on a scale between zero and 100, the place zero is the worst-ranked crew on the earth and 100 is the perfect crew on the earth.
Forward of kick-off this weekend, right here is the Opta Energy Rating for either side.
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